Asia-Pacific overtake of North America delayed as energy storage market tops 30GW by 2030, Guidehouse says

Lithium-ion utility-scale battery energy storage project in South Korea. Image: Kokam.

Asia-Pacific will overtake North America as the biggest utility-scale energy storage (UES) market by annual installed gigawatts (GW) by 2024-2025, according to a new report by Guidehouse Insights, one to two years later than in the firm’s previous forecasts.

The research firm has revised up its forecasts for global annual installed UES by 2029 from forecasts made 18 months ago, from around 25GW to around 27.5GW with a nudge over 30GW in 2030. It anticipates an average CAGR from 2021-2030 of 25%.

It has also pushed back the timeframe in which Asia-Pacific will overtake North America for annual installations from 2023 previously to 2024-2025. And by 2030, the region’s cumulative 71.4GW installed will make it the largest UES market overall, ahead of North America, the firm says.

“The UES market continues to develop at differing rates in regions and countries around the world,” says Pritil Gunjan, principal research analyst with Guidehouse Insights.

“The clear market leaders are pioneering new applications, business models, and technologies to drive the market forward.”

BloombergNEF also reckons Asia-Pacific will be the largest market by GW of storage by 2030 but notes the Americas will have higher gigawatt-hours (GWh) due to longer durations of storage, as covered by Energy-Storage.news.

It forecasts cumulative installations of energy storage reaching 345GW/1,028GWh by 2030, although clearly has a broader definition than Guidehouse’s.

Wood Mackenzie Power & Renewables’s 2030 forecast is similar with ‘close to 1TWh’ expected worldwide. It primarily publishes GWh in its research, leading it to conclude that Asia-Pacific is actually larger in energy storage today and will itself be leapfrogged by the Americas in the mid-2020s. 

On annual energy storage installations in 2030, research houses using gigawatts (GW) are in close agreement.

IHS Markit and Guidehouse both expect it to ‘exceed’ 30GW while BloombergNEF gives a precise and fairly bullish figure of 34.2GW. 

Recent spikes in lithium-ion materials have been a cause for concern in the industry. But Guidehouse forecasts that the average price of lithium-ion cells is expected to decrease over the next 10 years by a further 41%. This is some way off the 80-90% fall seen over the 2010s. The technology accounted for 86% of new UES installations in 2021.

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Greenbacker Obtains First Washington Assets with Three New Solar Projects

Greenbacker Renewable Energy Company LLC, through a wholly owned subsidiary, has purchased a 20-MW DC pre-operational solar portfolio from TUUSSO Energy, a Seattle-based utility-scale solar developer. The portfolio’s three 6.7 MW DC projects are Greenbacker’s first assets in Washington.

Located in Kittitas County, the projects – Camas, Penstemon and Urtica – are all expected to reach commercial operation in 2022. Each have long-term power purchase agreements in place with the same investment-grade utility offtaker. When completed, the renewable power produced by the portfolio will contribute to the state’s goal of achieving carbon-neutral electricity production by 2030 and 100% clean power by 2045.

“We’re thrilled to enter a new market with three projects that will deliver cheaper clean power to consumers,” says Charles Wheeler, CEO of GREC. “This expansion is the result of a successful long-term collaboration with the solar development experts at TUUSSO. We’ve been involved with the portfolio since the planning stage, and today we’re very pleased to include it in our fleet of renewables projects driving a clean energy future in the state of Washington.”

To help reach its clean energy goals, Washington has a number of supportive solar policies, including several tax exemptions for qualifying solar energy equipment and a net metering incentive, which allows solar owners to feed any unused energy back into the grid, offsetting their power bills by an equal amount.

“Greenbacker has been a great partner on these projects, and we’re very pleased to reach this milestone,” states Owen Hurd, CEO of TUUSSO. “These projects would not have been possible without Greenbacker’s unwavering commitment, and the collaborative efforts of local landowners, the Washington Energy Facility Site Evaluation Council, Puget Sound Energy, the Governor’s Office and other individuals. We look forward to beginning commercial operation in 2022 and hope these projects will encourage more solar in our home state in years to come.”

Greenbacker’s fleet of sustainable infrastructure projects comprises over 2.6 GW of generating capacity (including the TUUSSO portfolio and assets that are to be constructed). Since 2016, Greenbacker’s real assets have produced approximately 3.4 million MWh of clean energy.

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Jennifer Daloisio to Lead Massachusetts Clean Energy Center

Jennifer Daloisio

Energy and Environmental Affairs Secretary Kathleen Theoharides has named Jennifer Daloisio as CEO and executive director of the Massachusetts Clean Energy Center (MassCEC). MassCEC is dedicated to accelerating the clean energy and climate solution innovation that is critical to meeting the Commonwealth’s climate goals while building a nation-leading clean energy economy in Massachusetts.

“The Baker-Polito Administration continues to make significant strides in achieving Massachusetts’ net zero emission goal by 2050, and MassCEC will play a critical role in our ongoing efforts to develop clean energy technologies, build local companies, and expand the state’s clean energy workforce,” states Theoharides. “Jennifer has proven time and again to be an effective leader, and I believe under her guidance MassCEC will help to lead the clean energy transition by driving climate change solutions and working to grow a diverse, equitable and inclusive workforce.”

Daloisio first joined MassCEC as chief financial officer and treasurer in November 2014 and began serving as interim CEO in September 2021. Prior to joining MassCEC, she practiced public accounting in Boston for 18 years, most recently as a director at Deloitte. During her time in public accounting, she served clients in a variety of industries, including energy, retail and manufacturing. Daloisio also serves as a director on the board of the Northeast Clean Energy Council Institute.

“I am honored to lead MassCEC at this pivotal time as we work to meet the Commonwealth’s ambitious climate goals,” states Daloisio. “Under the Baker-Polito Administration’s leadership, MassCEC’s efforts have led to a thriving clean energy industry in Massachusetts. Driven by entrepreneurship and innovation, this industry is delivering clean, resilient, and cost-effective energy solutions. I look forward to continuing the critical work on our climate challenges while ensuring our communities and residents are able to experience the benefits of the clean energy transition.”

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AES Chooses Fluence’s Market Optimization Software to Maximize Solar Ventures

Fluence has signed an agreement with The AES Corp. to employ the AI-powered Fluence IQ Bidding Application to maximize the value of a 1.1 GW portfolio of solar and energy storage projects in the Western United States. The software will optimize revenues earned by solar and battery assets through participation in wholesale markets.

The Fluence IQ Bidding Application recommends bids into daily and hourly auctions for energy and grid services, anticipating opportunities using advanced forecasting to take advantage of favorable pricing while minimizing exposure to unfavorable pricing.

“We are proud to support AES in maximizing the value of their clean energy assets with our automated bidding software,” says Seyed Madaeni, Fluence’s SVP and chief digital officer. “Storage, solar, and wind owners and operators around the world trust Fluence IQ to manage the complexities of electricity market participation. Today our software supports over 6 GW of contracted or operating assets globally. Our software-as-a-service model enables us to rapidly integrate with customers’ assets, scale across geographies and technology types, and ensure superior performance as markets change.”

Fluence is a developer of AI-enabled bid optimization software for grid-scale storage and renewable generation assets. Fluence’s data scientists, market experts and software engineers apply machine learning and artificial intelligence technologies to the challenges of optimization in energy markets, designing tools that enable customers to articulate bidding strategies and balance operational considerations.

“At AES, we are focused on accelerating a carbon-free energy future and helping our customers achieve their clean energy commitments,” states Leo Moreno, AES Clean Energy’s president. “The Fluence IQ Bidding Application will allow us to best meet our customers’ needs with innovative solutions by optimizing assets in real time based on market price forecasts. By implementing and utilizing cutting-edge automated bidding software for our projects, we will be able to improve grid reliability and efficiency while also supporting our customers’ green energy transitions in a safe and reliable way.”

The Fluence IQ Bidding Application is available in two markets: the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) market and the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM). The platform is currently used by energy asset owners in Australia to optimize approximately 20% of all grid-scale wind and solar energy assets bidding into the NEM. Bidding Application customers can increase the revenue they earn in these markets by 40% to 50% for battery-based energy storage and 10% for standalone renewable energy assets.

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Fluence IQ bidding software will optimise 1.1GW of AES solar and storage assets in Western US

Fluence’s digital software capabilities extend into renewables asset optimisation, as well as batteries. Image: Fluence.

Fluence has netted a deal to onboard 1.1GW of solar and storage assets to its digital energy trading and bidding platform with AES Corporation, one of the energy storage technology provider’s parent companies. 

The deal, announced today, covers an AES portfolio of independent power producer (IPP) projects in the Western US which will now use the Fluence IQ Bidding Application.

The artificial intelligence-enabled, machine learning-based software gives recommendations on when and how much to bid into auctions for energy and grid services on an hourly and daily basis. 

It allows asset operators to make real-time decisions based on historical data and forecasting on metrics like expected energy generation and demand, weather and so on, optimising the revenues that can be earned from wholesale market opportunities. 

“By implementing and utilising cutting-edge automated bidding software for our projects, we will be able to improve grid reliability and efficiency while also supporting our customers’ green energy transitions in a safe and reliable way,” Leo Moreno, president of AES Clean Energy said.     

Fluence, launched in 2017 as a joint venture (JV) between AES Corporation and Siemens, went public in an IPO that valued the company at just under US$5 billion last year.

It is best known as an energy storage system integrator and technology provider, with more than 3.6GW of energy storage already deployed or contracted for deployment in 30 different global markets. 

However, Fluence has expanded its reach into the digital and software side of asset management and controls, largely since its acquisition of US energy storage AI and software provider Advanced Microgrid Solutions in 2020.

Since getting a contract to optimise market participation of a 182.5MW/730MWh battery energy storage system (BESS) in California a few months later, the company has added capabilities to manage bidding for renewable energy assets as well as battery storage. 

It signed 2,744MW of Fluence IQ digital contracts during 2021.  

Fluence CEO Manuel Perez Dubuc told this site at the beginning of the year that digital applications is now one of the company’s three main business lines, along with energy storage products and services. 

“Significant demand for digital products that optimise assets – both renewable and storage,” was one of Perez Dubuc’s big takeaways of last year in our Year in Review 2021 blog series. 

“The business model and economics of combining energy storage plus services plus digital optimisation is powerful, and we expect interest in that type of combination offering to grow.”

Although the platform is currently only available in the frontrunner California CAISO wholesale market and Australia National Electricity Market (NEM), availability in other regions is expected to come soon, sources close to the company have said. 

Fluence has claimed its bidding platform can create revenue uplifts of 40% to 50% for battery energy storage and about 10% for standalone renewable energy assets in CAISO and NEM. 

“Our software-as-a-service model enables us to rapidly integrate with customers’ assets, scale across geographies and technology types, and ensure superior performance as markets change,” Fluence SVP and chief digital officer Seyed Madaeni said.

Rivals in the energy storage technology provider space have launched similarly-themed offerings, including Wärtsilä’s Intellibidder platform and Tesla’s Autobidder.

Last week, Energy-Storage.news reported that Fluence has entered a long-term strategic partnership with another software-based clean energy company, Pexapark. 

Pexapark has a suite of analytical tools and services offering market intelligence about renewable energy power purchase agreements (PPAs) and energy portfolio risk management optimisation solutions. Fluence customers will gain access to Pexapark’s energy market software while Pexapark will be able to benefit from Fluence’s own energy storage analytics capabilities.

Fluence has offered revenue guidance between US$1.1 billion and US$1.3 billion for 2022. Company executives were due to discuss its latest quarterly earnings today.

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Nature Conservancy’s Site Map Helps Companies Identify Low-Impact Renewable Energy Possibilities

The Nature Conservancy has publicly released a map to help companies and communities identify the most promising places in the central U.S. to quickly develop renewable energy while avoiding impacts to important wildlife and habitats, called Site Renewables Right. The new analysis combines more than 100 GIS layers of wildlife habitat and land use data, helping to find areas where renewable energy development is most likely to avoid important natural areas, permitting delays, and cost overruns.

This first-of-its-kind map puts the latest research and data on the best places to source renewable energy in the hands of companies and communities. The Site Renewables Right map spans 19 states, from Ohio to Wyoming.

All told, Site Renewables Right estimates at least 120,000 square miles, an area larger than Arizona, hold the potential for low-conflict renewable energy siting in the central United States. The analysis suggests these areas could support approximately 1,000 GW of wind capacity – nearly 10 times the current U.S. wind capacity.

“To tackle climate change, we need to transition to renewable energy, and fast. Site Renewables Right finds there is huge opportunity to do this at a large-scale across the central United States, without significant impacts to habitat and wildlife,” says Nathan Cummins, director of renewable energy programs for The Nature Conservancy’s Great Plains Division. “Like any type of development, solar and wind facilities can harm wildlife and habitat if not sited properly. Site Renewables Right provides a way for companies and communities to assess those impacts. It encourages the right conversations to avoid project delays and impacts to the very same wildlife and natural areas we are trying to protect from climate change.”

Identifying low-conflict places for renewable energy in the region is critical, as the central United States is home to North America’s largest and most intact temperate grasslands, among the most altered and least-protected habitats in the world. It is “home on the range” for iconic wildlife such as bison, eagles, pronghorn, deer, and prairie chickens.

“Renewable energy and transmission are critical to reducing emissions and slowing global temperature rise to ensure a cleaner future for both people and wildlife,” states Garry George, director of the Clean Energy Initiative at National Audubon Society. “The Site Renewables Right tool plays an important role in Audubon’s analysis of clean energy planning and individual projects to make sure that conservation and renewables go hand-in-hand.”

With up to 75% of the nation’s large renewable energy projects expected to be developed in the 19-state region by 2050, tools such as Site Renewables Right can help companies, state agencies and communities quickly plan, permit and purchase renewable energy in ways that helps conserve natural areas.

Companies can use Site Renewables Right to meet their climate goals and support wildlife conservation at the same time.

“The Nature Conservancy’s Site Renewables Right map is an excellent example of data capture that helps organizations make informed business decisions when evaluating renewable energy projects,” comments Roberta Barbiera, VP of global sustainability at PepsiCo. “Projects that are properly sited and developed support a sustainable and equitable clean energy transition, a critical lever in achieving our net-zero by 2040 goal and broader pep+ (PepsiCo Positive) ambitions.”

Energy companies are embracing this technology as well to help them achieve climate targets.

“Renewable energy plays a critical role in Xcel Energy’s vision to deliver at least 80% emissions reduction by 2030, and we’re responsibly developing wind and solar resources to protect the environment,” mentions Jeff West, senior director of environmental at Xcel Energy. “We’re committed to working with organizations such as The Nature Conservancy and its Site Renewables Right initiative that researches and supports protecting wildlife and other natural resources as we provide a clean energy future for our customers.”

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Consultation for 5.4GW renewable energy and battery project to power metals mining in Australia

Fortescue Metals Group autonomous drilling rig in the Pilbara, Western Australia. Image: Fortescue Metals Group.

A public consultation period has opened on plans for a vast renewable energy project including large-scale battery storage which would be used to power mining operations for Australian metals company Fortescue. 

Fortescue Metals Group has submitted its Uaroo Renewable Energy Hub proposal to the Environmental Protection Authority of Western Australia, with the public consultation period now open for a week until 15 February.   

According to documents hosted on the Authority’s site, the project, in the mineral rich Pilbara region of Western Australia, would consist of up to 340 wind turbines and a solar farm, which between them would have a maximum energy generating capacity of 5.4GW. 

Repurposing land used mostly for cattle grazing, the site proposal also includes substations and other infrastructure and hosting up to 9,100MWh of battery storage, which would comfortably make it the largest battery project in the world. 

The world’s largest battery storage project to date is the 1,600MWh Moss Landing Energy Storage Facility in California, although recent plans were announced to take that up to 3GWh.  

The Pilbara Uaroo Renewable Energy Hub would take up to seven years to construct and have a maximum project life of 42 years, although infrastructure would be maintained and then replaced approximately every 30 years as assets reached their end of life. 

The application has been made by Fortescue’s subsidiary Fortescue Future Industries (FFI) and its energy asset arm Pilbara Energy. FFI aims to drive the group’s transformation into a powerhouse of the energy transition economy, with its other activities including a heavy emphasis on promoting green hydrogen, of which Fortescue founder and chairman Dr Andrew Forrest is an enthusiastic supporter. 

Mining operations, which are often remote and not connected to national or regional grid infrastructure, can benefit both economically and environmentally from onsite or nearby renewable generation backed with energy storage, due to their otherwise being dependent on expensively transported fossil fuels and their attendant, maintenance-heavy generation equipment.

Numerous recent projects have been reported on from this sector, including the recent completion of BHP’s first off-grid renewables projects, with solar PV and battery storage, also in Western Australia. The vast majority however, pertain to reducing site emissions and increasing penetration of renewables, rather than completely powering operations with solar and wind, as appears to be the case with the latest Fortescue project proposal.

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Scania EV truck charging park with solar, battery storage to open in Sweden this year

Scania battery electric truck with roadside charger in Sweden. Image: Dan Boman / Scania

Sweden’s largest electric vehicle (EV) truck charging park will be completed later this year with a 2MW battery energy storage system (BESS) and, approvals permitting, 500kW of connected solar, the CEO of the haulier behind it has exclusively told Energy-storage.news.

Falkenklev Logistik has hired solar solutions provider Soltech Energy to build the BESS while vehicle manufacturer Scania is developing the 22-DC-station in partnership with Finnish EV charging specialist Kempower, the companies announced last week. 

The charging park with all grid connections will cost SEK18 million (US$2 million) while the BESS comes to SEK20 million, Falkenklev CEO Victor Falkenklev told Energy-storage.news. The Swedish environmental protection agency Naturvårdsverket is funding half of the park’s cost, according to Scania.

The storage and charging station are in addition to the ongoing development of a nearby 1.5 hectare solar park by Soltech for Falkenlkev, announced last month and costing SEK7.5m. The solar facility will feed electricity into the grid, rather than to the EV park.

Regarding the lack of connection with the charging park, Falkenklev says it is “shopping around for different electric companies that could buy the solar power from Perstorp and sell us a different solar power”.

Falkenklev’s is one of a growing number of projects attaching energy storage to EV charging parks to reduce peak load on local electricity grids and achieve carbon neutrality, either by pairing with renewables or simply better controlling when it charges from the grid. 

Stationary energy storage in support of EVs could reach a global installed capacity of 1.9GW by the end of 2029, according to an August 2020 Guidehouse Insights report as covered by Energy-Storage.news. 

Theirs isn’t the first EV-plus-storage project in Sweden but it’s much larger than the 220kW/320kWh BESS using lithium-ion attached to an EV charging station park in Vasteras, delivered in late 2020 by battery producer Northvolt and publicly-owned utility Mälarenergi. There, the BESS was intended to reduce peak electricity demand of the station by 80%.

Energy-storage.news reported on New York’s first such project, a 5MW/15MWh BESS connected to an 18-station EV charging park for which UK energy giant Centrica won a project tender in mid-2021, put out by utility Con Edison. 

These projects aren’t limited to lithium-ion either. In November, pilots to pair vanadium flow batteries with EV charging stations in Australia and South Korea were announced. 

But the holy grail for these kinds of projects is a direct pairing with a renewable power source, which would allow the low-carbon generation, storing and release of power in a self-contained system with as little reliance on the grid as possible.

Thought to be Europe’s largest EV charging station when it opened in November 2020, the Seed & Greet charging station in Germany pairs 336kWp solar PV, two wind turbines with a 2MWh BESS, powering 114 charging points. It uses a Tesvolt battery system with an expected lifecycle of 30 years.

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Lithium-ion chosen first, but not the only option for California’s long-duration energy storage needs

CCAs are targeting ever-growing shares of clean energy for their customers. Output from this solar-plus-storage project has recently been contracted for by San Jose Clean Energy, a CCA also based in Silicon Valley. Image: SJCE / Terra-Gen.

An eight-hour duration lithium-ion battery project was recently selected as a long-duration energy storage resource by a group of energy suppliers in California. Girish Balachandran, CEO of Silicon Valley Clean Energy, tells us about the deal and what it signifies.

Regular readers of Energy-Storage.news will likely be aware of the increasing role played in California’s energy landscape — and more specifically its clean energy landscape — by Community Choice Aggregators (CCAs).

Non-profit electricity suppliers allowing their member-customers to choose which sources their power comes from, CCAs are signing ever-greater volumes of contracts for solar, wind, renewables-plus-storage and standalone energy storage resources. 

According to CAlCCA, an organisation which works to support numerous CCAs at legislative and regulatory level, as of November last year power purchase agreements (PPAs) had been signed for more than 2.6GW/9.2GWh of battery storage with average contract length being 17 years, by California’s CCAs. 

But it isn’t just the sheer scale of resources being contracted for. The fact that many CCAs and their customers are opting for greener sources of energy is leading to innovation in contract structures too. 

For instance, yesterday Energy-Storage.news reported on a solar-plus-storage PPA between CCA San Jose Clean Energy and renewable energy developer Terra-Gen which will see 62MWac of clean energy delivered seven days a week, for 16 hours a day, including the critical 6pm to 10pm peak. 

A group of CCAs also proactively moved towards procuring long-duration energy storage resources as early as 2020. When the regulator, the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC), put out a historic requirement for California’s energy providers to procure a portion of long-duration storage in its Mid-Term Reliability ruling last year — ensuring lights stay on as the state retires gas and nuclear facilities in the coming years — the CCAs were ready.

Power system planning is not what it used to be

In January, the first 69MW/552MWh long-duration storage procurement was announced by seven member CCAs in CC Power, a Joint Powers Agency formed to collectively represent a total of 10 CCAs. 

What surprised many about the contract with developer REV Renewables for its Tumbleweed battery project is that Tumbleweed is a lithium-ion battery energy storage system (BESS). There had been an expectation from some industry commentators — although admittedly not others — that flow batteries, or some form of thermal or mechanical energy storage might have been the frontrunner in a long-duration procurement. 

Energy-Storage.news spoke with Girish Balachandran, CEO of Silicon Valley Clean Energy (SVCE). SVCE serves 270,000 residential and business customers across 13 communities in California’s Silicon Valley. It was one of the seven groups to have signed that contract with LS Power subsidiary REV Renewables. 

The contracts await approval from the elected boards of SVCE and the other CCAs, but Balachandran was able to offer both a background to the role of CCAs today, how that fits with California’s SB100 clean energy by 2045 mandate and the long-duration procurement, which as the CEO says, is ongoing. 

California passed a law in 2002 allowing communities to purchase power on behalf of residents and business, leading to the launch eight years later of MCE, California’s first Community Choice Aggregator. After the formation of MCE in 2010, a wave of other new CCAs sprung up between 2016 and 2018. 

“Community Choice agencies are essentially governments coming together to buy electricity in bulk,” SVCE’s Girish Balachandran says.

“We’re called load-serving entities and our basic span of influence is early on the supply side. Transmission and distribution still stay with the investor-owned utilities (IOUs) and so all customers are opted in to our service and they can opt out if they want.”

While different CCAs have different missions in terms of how to serve customers, from lowering costs or perhaps increasing reliability of local supply, on average CCAs provide greener power than California’s three main IOUs, PG&E, SDG&E and SCE. 

SVCE is providing carbon-free electricity to all of its customers and since its inception in 2017 has been doing this at a discount to the supply rates of PG&E, the service area’s IOU. With its power 50% from wind and solar, SVCE realises that going further will require more and more energy storage. 

“We all recognise in California — load serving entities, regulators — that all the solar coming in during the day has resulted in a Duck Curve and so now we no longer have a peak in the middle of the day, which used to be what utilities planned for for 100 years.”

California’s (in)famous Duck Curve. Image: CAISO.

Having planned the entire power system around an afternoon peak, including the planning of reserve margins, California’s profile has shifted to a ‘net peak,’ during the nighttime hours. 

“So that gets to energy storage, where it is essential to have energy storage to meet the net peak, because you’d have excess renewables from solar dumping into the grid during daylight hours. And now the peak has moved to nighttime hours,” Balachandran says. 

“So we need dinnertime power, we already have excess lunchtime power. That’s where energy storage comes in.”

Are your resources… adequate?

CPUC has mandated that all load-serving entities procure a certain amount of energy storage, from four and five-hour duration storage to longer durations. This includes California’s Resource Adequacy contracting, which means ensuring electricity supplies can be maintained over four and eight-hour periods. 

It’s effectively a long-term contracted capacity payment for availability and is largely what has led to the boom in four-hour duration lithium-ion battery projects in the state. 

Since 2017, SVCE has put out three requests for proposals (RfPs) including contracting for nearly 200MWh of battery storage. Its first facility is coming online soon, and the group hopes to be able to cost-effectively utilise battery storage by combining revenue streams from RA, from arbitrage and ancillary services.

However going into the future, eight-hour energy storage is going to become increasingly important, and it’s likely much longer, perhaps seasonal storage will be needed for a 100% carbon-free grid, Balachandran says. CPUC’s Mid-Term Reliability ruling also mandated for at least 1,000MW of eight-hour storage out of a total 11.5GW resources procurement. 

SVCE and several other CCAs have been “leaning into” the growing need for energy storage, having recognised that the net peak needed to be met. 

Collectively, they put out their request for information (RFI) for long-duration storage in June 2020, before the Mid-Term Reliability ruling, “just to get a sense of what was out there in the market”.

“The kind of information we got was very encouraging,” the CEO says. 

“Both in terms of the diversity of technologies, [and] the duration, it was just very positive to us. There was enough out there in terms of interest that basically confirmed to us, we needed to put the request for offers (RFO) out as soon as possible. When we put it out in October 2020, there was a very positive response.”

From this “diversity of technologies,” it was lithium-ion, presumably the most established energy storage option — albeit at shorter durations — that was selected. So what convinced SVCE and the six other participating members of the CC Power agency this was the right choice?

“It’s a little nuanced. I don’t think the question ought to be about how lithium-ion won over emerging technologies. That’s not it — there is so much [storage] that we need.”

The requirements of the final request for proposal that the CCAs put out was for an eight-hour minimum discharge duration resource of at least 50MW. Contracts would have a minimum delivery term of 10 years for resources to come online by 1 June 2026, while the CCAs would need full deliverability to be eligible for Resource Adequacy credit. Projects had to connect to the CAISO grid, or if not, to ensure full transfer rights for power delivered for SVCE and the other aggregators.  

“We did this before the Mid-Term Reliability requirements were put out, but this kind of aligned [with that].” 

Balachandran is at pains to point out that the contract with REV Renewables for its Tumbleweed BESS is only the first procurement step of a likely many to come. Tumbleweed meets 55% of the Mid-Term Reliability procurement SVCE has been ordered to make. The remaining 45% is to be determined and as he says, there will be more energy storage required between now and 2045. 

The CCAs needed to find an immediately compliant solution to their mandated procurement needs, but really did want to dig into the different options out there in terms of technologies. In the end, three projects have been short-listed through the RFO: two lithium-ion and the other an emerging technology which Balachandran isn’t able to disclose at this stage. 

Undisclosed, but certainly short-listed. Referring to a recent 226MWh vanadium flow battery storage announcement by Central Coast Community Energy, another CCA, Balachandran says that over the next couple of years, we can expect to see a big mix of technologies contracted for in California’s energy storage sector. 

Lithium-ion, with its scalability, will likely take the lion’s share, but flow batteries and other emerging technologies could be a part of that too. 

Aerial view of Gateway, an existing 250MW/250MWh lithium-ion BESS project built in California by LS Power and now in REV Renewables’ portfolio. Image: LS Power.

The RFO was responded to by 51 different entities, representing more than 9,000MW of projects. 

There were aqueous air batteries, iron redox and vanadium flow batteries, zinc and of course lithium-ion batteries. Competing with those were compressed air, hydrogen fuel cells, gravity storage, pumped hydro and then a variety of thermal energy storage technologies like molten salt and liquid air.

It’s very likely some or all of those will have a role to play in future, Balachandran said, they just weren’t the first to be contracted for. 

The CCAs had a scoring rubric which assessed bids on a number of factors. Cost-effectiveness was the primary factor in this instance and the metric on which lithium-ion got the highest score, but also a major factor was REV Renewables and its parent company’s strong track record in the sector. 

So much is changing in California — and the world’s — energy system. Keeping the lights on affordably while decarbonising rapidly is going to be a tricky balancing act, Balachandran says, and while the state is broadly on the right track in his opinion, it needs to be careful how it moves forwards.

“We need to move fast — but let’s not move so fast that we make things unaffordable and the lights go out. We are in a climate crisis, so we really need to be really pushing the envelope, which is what CCAs are doing — but we have had blackouts [in California]. So I think we really need to be very thoughtful about that, and it’s a tough problem, because, we have a [power] shortage. 

“I think there are market structure issues, there are regulatory structure issues that need to be solved.” 

Nonetheless, Girish Balachandran says energy storage will be one of the main tools in the toolkit to solve those challenges and is “very optimistic that there are going to be a variety of technologies, from one-hour storage to multiple days, seasonal storage. We need all of it,” he says. 

“I feel very optimistic about the energy storage business just transforming, and also from a size standpoint. From very large, pumped storage projects, compressed air energy storage projects, to storage in people’s garages, for resiliency purposes and affordability purposes. So it really is an ‘all of the above’ that we’re looking at.

“CCAs are really leaning into getting a lot of carbon-free energy, and trying to make it be as 24/7 as possible.”

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Solar, wind and energy storage proposals for New South Wales Renewable Energy Zone come flooding in

Rendering of Riverina, a 200MWh battery storage project under development in New South Wales. Image: Edify.

The Australian state of New South Wales (NSW) has received proposals for more than 34GW of solar, wind and energy storage for its South-West Renewable Energy Zone (REZ), more than 10 times the likely capacity of the site.

NSW, through its recently formed Energy Corporation that will oversee the state’s REZs, held a registration of interest (ROI) in October and November 2021 for the South-West REZ, which is one of five planned zones in Australia.  

In total, 49 applications from renewables and storage developers made up the 34GWs of proposals, which was 13 times the intended capacity for the REZ, according to James Hay, Energy Corporation CEO, adding that the REZ will be no less than 2.5GW in capacity.

The South-West REZ is to be located to the west of the city of Wagga Wagga and straddle the state’s border with Victoria. 

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